DesPardes + PKonweb


Coronavirus Cases in US: 205,035; Deaths: 4,516 (As of April 1, 2020 17:17 GMT)

“This is going to be one of the roughest 2 or 3 weeks we’ve ever had in our country […] We’re going to lose thousands of people”, President Trump said [video] [transcript]

  • Projections: 100,000 – 240,000 total deaths in the US from COVID-19 [video segment] (down from 1.5 – 2.2 million deaths without mitigation: social distancing, staying home, washing hands). But if guidelines are followed perfectly by everyone, then the numbers can be lower, or even significantly lower
  • Assuming full mitigation: peak of 2,214 daily deaths on April 15